Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000245 0.000273 0.000303 0.000338 0.000378 0.000421 0.000473
2025-02-09 0.000189 0.000228 0.000274 0.000333 0.000406 0.000494 0.000610
2025-02-16 0.000159 0.000204 0.000260 0.000336 0.000438 0.000571 0.000760
2025-02-23 0.000137 0.000183 0.000244 0.000333 0.000458 0.000632 0.000897
2025-03-02 0.000122 0.000169 0.000235 0.000335 0.000483 0.000701 0.001052
2025-03-09 0.000109 0.000157 0.000226 0.000334 0.000502 0.000762 0.001204
2025-03-16 0.000095 0.000141 0.000209 0.000319 0.000498 0.000785 0.001297
2025-03-23 0.000088 0.000134 0.000203 0.000321 0.000519 0.000850 0.001470
2025-03-30 0.000084 0.000131 0.000204 0.000333 0.000558 0.000950 0.001721
2025-04-06 0.000076 0.000122 0.000195 0.000325 0.000562 0.000990 0.001864
2025-04-13 0.000068 0.000110 0.000180 0.000309 0.000547 0.000992 0.001934
2025-04-20 0.000064 0.000106 0.000177 0.000310 0.000566 0.001060 0.002150
2025-04-27 0.000062 0.000105 0.000179 0.000324 0.000611 0.001186 0.002517
2025-05-04 0.000057 0.000099 0.000173 0.000320 0.000622 0.001248 0.002756
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000095 0.000170 0.000323 0.000646 0.001341 0.003089
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000091 0.000165 0.000320 0.000658 0.001409 0.003374
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000087 0.000162 0.000322 0.000680 0.001503 0.003747
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000084 0.000158 0.000321 0.000696 0.001584 0.004104
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000077 0.000148 0.000307 0.000679 0.001585 0.004237
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000075 0.000146 0.000309 0.000700 0.001683 0.004674
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000075 0.000148 0.000321 0.000747 0.001856 0.005382
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000071 0.000142 0.000313 0.000746 0.001901 0.005696
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000065 0.000133 0.000297 0.000720 0.001872 0.005766